June 19, 2024

Expert predictions for Thursday’s AFL game between Essendon Bombers and Collingwood Magpies anticipate tight contests, given the historical record of 17 wins for the Magpies and 10 for the Bombers in ANZAC Day games. Additionally, six of the last nine games between these teams have resulted in scores falling below the game total.

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Essendon Bombers vs Collingwood Magpies Match Preview

The traditional ANZAC Day clash at the MCG is set to see the Collingwood Magpies aiming for their third consecutive victory in the fixture against the Essendon Bombers.

Collingwood has historically dominated the ANZAC Day games, boasting a 17-10 record over the Bombers with one draw. With the reigning premiers on a three-game winning streak this season, they are favored to secure another win, likely by a margin of less than 40 points, fueled by the energy of the crowd.

Key statistics favoring Collingwood include their recent success against Essendon, winning 13 of the last 17 ANZAC Day games and five of their last six victories against the Bombers being by less than 40 points. Additionally, Collingwood has demonstrated a more accurate forward line, scoring more goals despite having fewer Inside 50’s than Essendon this season.

Head-to-Head Matchup

Since the beginning of the 2019 season, Collingwood holds a commanding 6-3 lead in head-to-head matchups against Essendon, not only in ANZAC Day clashes but in all regular-season games. The Magpies have won the last four games, with Essendon’s last victory against them dating back to the 2021 season.

Recent trends indicate close contests between the two teams, with only one of the last nine games finishing with a margin of 40 points or more, and six of the last nine games going under the total game points.

Essendon Bombers Form

The Essendon Bombers have displayed inconsistent form this season, with notable scoring performances in some games but struggling in others. Despite scoring over 100 points in their first two games and defeating St Kilda, they faced a setback with a low-scoring match against Port Adelaide, where they only managed 42 points.

However, the Bombers have won their last two games, albeit in tight contests, including a narrow victory against Adelaide, where they held on to win by three points despite kicking inaccuracies.

Essendon Bombers Team News

Matt Guelfi may return against Collingwood pending a fitness test on his calf.

Collingwood Magpies Form

The Collingwood Magpies showcased a dominant performance in their last outing against Port Adelaide, securing a convincing 42-point victory. It was their first game of the season where they scored over 100 points, with a total of 123 points against the Power.

Collingwood Magpies Team News

Scott Pendlebury was substituted in the fourth quarter of the win over Port Adelaide as a precautionary measure, with the team maintaining a comfortable lead.

Verdict

With Collingwood showing signs of returning to their championship-winning form from 2023, and with the support of a passionate home crowd, they are favored to extend their ANZAC Day winning streak to three games with a close victory over the Essendon Bombers.

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